http://dsc.discovery.com/news/2009/03/02/global-warming-pause.html

The article is a bit dated (March 2nd, 2009) but I just found it…

“For those who have endured this winter’s frigid temperatures and today’s heavy snowstorm in the Northeast, the concept of global warming may seem, well, almost wishful.”

To the general public that may be true, but climate scientists and really any scientist in general knows that a single storm or strong winter season is hardly indicative of Global climate change. In fact, several years of strong winters is not indicative of some long term, human induced or natural Global Climate change.  There are many potential paramaters that need to be analyzed. Changes in solar output, Changes in Walker circulation flows, etc. We are all familiar with El Nino and La Nina events. El Nino cause a small increase in temperature and La Ninas cause a small decrease in global temperatures.

“But climate is known to be variable — a cold winter, or a few strung together doesn’t mean the planet is cooling. Still, according to a new study in Geophysical Research Letters, global warming may have hit a speed bump and could go into hiding for decades.”

Climate is not variable in the near term IMHO. It is variable on the long term. We know of cooling and warming episodes in our past. In fact, each time we have an ice age we experience Global Cooling and they have occurred many times throughout Earth’s history. Weather changes from day to day and year to year, but climate should remain relatively stationary over many years. Of course this depends on how fine of a scale we are using to measure it.

“Earth’s climate continues to confound scientists. Following a 30-year trend of warming, global temperatures have flatlined since 2001 despite rising greenhouse gas concentrations, and a heat surplus that should have cranked up the planetary thermostat.

“This is nothing like anything we’ve seen since 1950,” Kyle Swanson of the University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee said. “Cooling events since then had firm causes, like eruptions or large-magnitude La Ninas. This current cooling doesn’t have one.”"

Last year had a strong La Nina IIRC and we are in one now as well so some cooling is expected. I had first heard about the current halt in warming in discussions on Eastern Weather Board. Global temperatures seem to be no longer rising as proponents of human induced global warming said they should. The computer models predict very significant increases in Global temperatures due to human activity by the end of this century. 

“Instead, Swanson and colleague Anastasios Tsonis think a series of climate processes have aligned, conspiring to chill the climate. In 1997 and 1998, the tropical Pacific Ocean warmed rapidly in what Swanson called a “super El Nino event.” It sent a shock wave through the oceans and atmosphere, jarring their circulation patterns into unison.

How does this square with temperature records from 2005-2007, by some measurements among the warmest years on record? When added up with the other four years since 2001, Swanson said the overall trend is flat, even though temperatures should have gone up by 0.2 degrees Centigrade (0.36 degrees Fahrenheit) during that time.

The discrepancy gets to the heart of one of the toughest problems in climate science — identifying the difference between natural variability (like the occasional March snowstorm) from human-induced change.”

I think there might be a natural reason for the flatline. We are entering an ice age –>

We should be entering a period of drastic global cooling. Of course the increase in atmospheric CO2 due to human activities has offset this natural cycle but what this shows is that there is a natural means of absorbing atmospheric Co2 concentrations and that global temperatures should begin to cool.

This latest flatline in warming does not mean that human induced warming has not occurred or is not a problem. If we put a lot of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere it is going to get warmer. There is absolutely no question about that. The actual extent of the warming induced by humans is not certain to me, however. 

But I expect a long period of global cooling to begin if it hasn’t started already. Have we pumped so much Co2 into the air that it is going to offset the natural cycle delineated in the picture above? If we have, good for us. We averted an ice age but now would be a good time to go green and slow down our emissions. If we do start seeing strong cooling in the upcoming years I’d recommend pumping more Co02 into the air. Leave your cars running…

Vincent Sapone

Recent data released by NCDC detailed the climate for the winter months (Dec 08 - Feb 09). Among the many things listed were the temperatures and precipitation amounts for that period. There are a few notable facts that are worth mentioning.

January 2009 was a COLD month (at least on the east coast). In fact, it was 3 degrees below average in Baltimore, 3.1 degrees below at JFK in New York, and 4.5 degrees below average in Boston, according to climate reports published by NOAA. One would think with such a large drop from normal that it would be at least mentioned, however this didn’t receive any press from distinguished weather sites.

February was the opposite of January. Above average temperatures dominated most of the month. Along with the temperatures, we experienced a dry February. On average, precip totals were about .6 inches below the norm. New Jersey and Delaware recorded their driest February ever.

What I find remarkable about all of this is the lack of reporting for January and over-reporting for February. Take a look at the site I got the information from. Not only do they fail to mention January’s stats, they sensationalize February’s.

Here’s a look at Accuweather’s blog. For a blog that is specifically for “Global Warming news, science, myths, and articles”, is it convenient that there is no mention of January?

If you are going to use February as an arguement for global warming, I’m going to use January to counter it.

The southern states from Texas through North Carolina (with the exception being Florida) have been experiencing many rainy days through the second week of March. Some places in the deep south have had measurable rainfall for 6 days straight. Below is a seven day long accumulated precipitation map for the U.S.

7 Day accumulated QPF

This will be the last gloomy forecast day for the southern states for the rest of the week. High pressure will be in control of the eastern seaboard and provide a nice stretch of weather until a strong cold front barells its way southeastward through the eastern third of the nation during the day Thursday. The cold front will be accompanied by showers and embedded thunderstorms and will usher in some unseasonably cool air for Friday.

The Pacific Northwest is next in line for the long period of unpleasant weather. Valley rain and mountain snow are the story today and will be for the next few days. The overall pattern heading into the upcoming weekend looks to be troughiness digging into the western states with several impulses riding through, while a large ridge begins to build across the central states supplying sunny skies and above average temperatures for those locations.

As a recent graduate, I joined the masses of unemployed soon after school ended. That isn’t saying I wasn’t trying though. I did pick up some helpful hints during the entire process.

1. Finding a job to apply for.
The initial job-finding is sometimes the most tedious. What tools you use will depend on what field of meteorology you’d like to work in.

For TV Meteorologists…
I used a site called www.tvjobs.com . Although there is a membership fee, it is well worth it. I received two job offers after employers viewed my resume on this site. Another good site to use (and many will think I’m crazy) is Myspace Jobs.

For all other jobs…
After going through the basic weather companies, I stumbled upon a few sites that really offered a good starting point. I did a simple google search for “Weather Companies” and found Weather Mania and NOAA’s Private Wx Companies. Search employment opportunities on the individual sites for job listings.

2. So you found a job, now to apply…
Read the job description and create a resume (1 page!!) that fulfills what the company is looking for in an employer. Resist the temptation to embellish or fabricate parts of your resume. I guarantee you it  will only haunt you in the future.

A well written cover letter is also important. Do not send a generic letter or use “To Whom It May Concern”. Finding out who to send a cover letter to not only shows you care, but will also put in extra effort to see that something is done right.

3. You scored an interview!
When going to an interview, you need to make sure that you are dressed for success. While a TV job would require a shirt and tie, working for WXC may only be a polo and jeans. My personal philosophy is I’d rather be overdressed than underdressed. Don’t wear too much cologne or perfume because that will detract the interviewer from what you’re saying.

Do some research on the company you’re interviewing for. This again shows you care and are eager to part of the team. Likewise, memorize your resume and refer to it at certain points of the interview.

After the interview, send follow-up thank you notes to those who interviewed you and/or helped you set up the interview. You may think this is an optional step, but it put you head and shoulders above the rest of your competition. I think it because of Thank You Notes that I was offered an internship at WJW in Cleveland.

4. Congrats on the job!
You finally got a job offer. You want to negotiate for a little more money. Companies purposely low-ball your offer to try to save themselves some dough. Try returning a reasonable amount in return. If you are going to give them a counter-offer, make sure you have at least three reasons that you deserve to be paid more. This will help your case immensely.

If the company can’t give you the money you wanted, consider asking for different types of benefits (ie Tuition Assistance, Bonuses, etc).

————————————————————–

While I don’t consider myself a genius at the job process, I think I have a fair understanding of it. I wish I could have gone into more detail here, but with this overview, I hope you get the gist of what I’m trying to convey. Don’t be discouraged if things are going your way. It took me 3.5 months to finally get a job, and now I’m happily employed by Weatherbug, Inc.